"Pay my troops no mind; they're just on a fact-finding mission."

Tag Archives: urbanization

The Macro-Sexenomics of Female Beauty

Thinkers like Adam Smith and Karl Marx were on the right track in asserting that self-interest is a key animating force of society but they both overestimated human rationality in the enlightenment fashion.  Stuck in this literal-minded rut they assumed economic activity is the only manifestation of self-interest that matters. Clinging to prudish 18th century notions of human nature, they never considered that more animal desires are upstream of economic activity.

It’s true the butcher and the baker want to make money, but they don’t do so just so they can be consumer cogs buying more stuff to sustain the virtuous cycle.  They also want to get laid and have kids.  If they had no hope of forming a family or even getting a nice girlfriend, they might well abandon getting up early every day to work hard in favor of easy lives just getting by.

Our conventional economics rely on financial gain for its own sake and on the surface this seems to work.  But within this paradigm we fail to ask why people so reliably want more money, even well past the threshold of marginal utility. We typically handwave this, saying that human desire knows no bounds.  There is truth to this but we neglect to inquire into why this is.

It only becomes rational for people to acquire more than they will ever need because they are competing for relative status against one another.  Status competition is ultimately connected to the struggle for the best possible shares of the sexual market.  In other words, this means access to the most desirable mates.
For men this means a chance to court beautiful women that most men can never dream of having a shot at.   Young women as a whole in society are like dangling carrots that keep the masses of males striving away in the office and designing rocket ships.

We are told, of course, that we live in a modern wonderland of free sexual opportunity for men but this is of course misleading.  Pretty women know they are always in high demand by millions of men and this age of internet and urbanization allows them to play their hands in the most discerning way.

Past the last day of high school or college, a man usually has to pay to be in the same room with pretty young women.  In the general population these ladies are scarce to be seen.  The overwhelming demand causes them to insulate themselves from public exposure or else they go out with those huge movie star face-hiding, eye-contact-avoiding sunglasses and a stony “resting bitch face” as the manosphere calls it.  I don’t know if we can overestimate the value of a pretty woman’s spontaneous smile in keeping a society healthy even when no flirtation is intended.  Defensive stinginess creates a vicious cycle of desperation and hostility when the slightest friendly gesture invites urgent sexual advances.

There was once the concept of the “girl next door” a wholesomely pretty girl close at hand in ordinary daily life.  In the 21st century this no longer really exists past high school as attractive young women migrate to the biggest cities where they are from then on concentrated.
This serves a dual purpose in giving them access to the highest ranking men while imposing high costs of living and huge decreases in quality of life on the thirsty masses of men who try to pursue them there.

It is not even a viable strategy for most men to try to lock down the hot women before their great urban migration as the society stigmatizes youthful marriage and statutory rape laws make it illegal for older men to seek teenage brides in the suburbs and countryside.

Thus, the sex and the city lifestyle in pricey hipster neighborhoods functions like a burqa for modern women, denying the gaze of unworthy men as they go scantily-clad to the nearby wine bar.

When most men rarely see higher than a 6.5 in public who isn’t flagrantly anti-social, their morale and motivation is sapped and the scale of sexual market value is drastically distorted in favor of those obese and plain women who stay behind.  

While men will always get thirsty enough to settle for whatever they can find, they aren’t as willing to sacrifice as they would be if access to potential mates were more equitable.  Once the girls they could approach are repulsive enough compared to anime porn, enthusiasm for the chase goes into a downward spiral.

For every low-status nerd who is willing to date a fat woman, there is another who ends up a celibate omega.  This creates millions of bare branches with no roots or prospects in the social order, a state of affairs which makes steadily increasing agitation against the establishment inevitable.

Even those men who still succeed with women know they could be doing a lot better.  Without any real status or bargaining leverage they are struggling with long term relationships and family formation.  They have no more stake in the present state of affairs than do incels.  

Just as illegal immigration and offshoring push down wages for everyone, most men see their sexual market payoff reduced by relentless demand inflation.
To put it in perspective, we all know how an influx of millions of pretty young women would be received by the matriarchy. 

The overwhelming thirst caused by the hyper-inflationary collapse of the sexual market has played a significant role in the death of civic life.  Whether churches or old-fashioned bowling leagues, widespread male desperation erodes the social trust required for co-ed contact or cooperation between men outside of carefully vetted social circles.
Whenever a new man shows up, he is bound to be met with suspicion by the women and hostility by the men.  No one wants yet another swinging dick adding to the society-wide sausage fest. 

Clearly, a society that wants to persist under modern conditions must acknowledge the importance of balancing the sexual market for the sake of cohesion and stability.
To prevent complete social breakdown we might begin by:

-Making it less easy and desirable for pretty women to hide themselves in urban walled harems.
-Making it easy to import pretty young women to control sexual market hyper-inflation.
-Easing statutory rape laws so men who take until the their late 20s/30s to get established can be rewarded by society with high school brides.
-A fat tax.
-Deport illegal men, children, old, ugly women, but let 5s or better stay.

A main point here is when we objectively rate beauty in a new inegalitarian age we can incorporate it into policy.   A special tax on obese women for instance would tacitly acknowledge they are reneging on their side of the social contract by depriving society of the beauty that motivates male participation and helps sustain a workable balance of power between the sexes.
Similar penalties might apply to disfigurative piercings or tattoos.

Congregating in a few neighborhoods in a few cities could be dis-incentivized by removing feminist laws that make it easier for women to get nice white collar jobs they can’t get fired from and imposing special taxes on certain places of residence for single females.

These kinds of measures would obviously trigger massive female opposition, but if women as a whole tried living within a stable balance of power rather than an extractive matriarchy, they might actually like it.  
At present, even plain women have countless suitors to choose from but they live with a millionaire’s dilemma where they have to assume every man they meet is trying to get what’s in between their legs.
If they could live in a healthy society where non-adversarial social interactions are actually possible, they might to their surprise cease to be as angry and lonely as they are now.

Future Trends – Smaller Cities, Decentralization, Toffler’s Third Wave

 (click to expand)

We always overestimate the change that will occur in the next two years and underestimate the change that will occur in the next ten. Don’t let yourself be lulled into inaction.

– Bill Gates

Most analysis on the future, including the Ministry Of Defense’s Trends Out to 2040, take it for granted that cities will keep on growing.

With the advent of industrial technologies and modern medicine, urbanization became possible.

In the graph, the largest cities outside of Asia are listed from 1800-1802, even London would be considered rather small by modern standards. Why did they grow so large so quickly? The economy of scale for mass production favored heavy centralization. Fast Forward 200 years and New York City is home to 21 million people. London has about 12 million people in it’s borders.

The population density made it much easier for government to collect taxes: the positions of factories, the workers on the assembly line and the natural resources they need to produce products are fixed in place. Nearly all work was physical in nature, it’s existence can be proven or disproven. An illiterate idiot and a genius could sit side by side and both contribute the same amount of value on an assembly line. Labor Strikes were also highly effective because everything was fixed into position, you couldn’t simply move operations overseas if you didn’t like how operations were going in your host country.

However that has been slowly shifting over the past few decades. Value is increasingly based off of ideas, closely matching Toffler’s Third Wave Theory. The economy of scale for things like 3D Printing and scientific research heavily favor decentralization. Education is becoming location independent. Trends in warfare, namely 4th Generation Warfare & The Superempowered Individual favor decentralization as well. All of the economic incentives favor smaller, cohesive intelligent groups that can work together to build the things that they need. This is inherently at odds with nearly every analysis that has been made for the coming decades, even the peak oil theories which assume humans are no longer capable of innovation. This does not mean the death of hierarchy, simply that the incentives are heavily skewed towards human branching out and forming smaller more cohesive units.

Connectivity is possible via the internet, anything that can not be done over the internet is increasingly able to be produced and customized locally (and usually of higher quality than what the government/large corporation provides). We haven’t completely reached the point where the Nation-State is outdated however, but all of the trends point heavily in this direction. This will not be a move backwards to pastoral farm-life, at least not for the most talented who are able to use their knowledge to better themselves and their tribe. The tribes themselves may or may not be nomadic. Space also opens up a unique frontier that the two superpowers laid the foundation for many years ago. In the future it may become possible for cities and governments to rapidly form and dissolve as errors in their founding make them unworkable.

Though this may be marketed by populist leaders as hurting the developing world, the exact opposite is true for the most talented who invest in skills that cannot be automated. People from all over the world will be able to form together to work on projects, talent will no longer be hindered by incompetent bureaucratic organizations. The less skilled are likely to form groups based off of the affiliation of race, religion and extended family to take care of their problems.

In the mean time, approval ratings for Congress hovers at around 14%, and voter turn out for the national elections are only about 56%, in spite of all of the campaign promises and efforts of politicians to win votes. Finding someone who isn’t cynical about the current state of affairs is nearly impossible, apathy is now the norm. The default economic solution for the world’s only superpower is to print more money, the EU remains fractured and are forcing energy austerity on it’s member states. China is experiencing rapid growth, but there is reason to believe that the numbers are at least partially inflated by the government. In the US wages have remained stagnant while productivity has actually gone up. There is no shortage of people who are discontented with the status quo.

There is no easy solution in sight, every government in the world now seeks to control the free flow of information between it’s citizens. The US has CISPA (along with states like Tennessee going even further), China has it’s infamous Golden Shield and in the UK saying offensive things on the internet is illegal. But very little innovation comes from the government, that’s not the product that they sell to the public. It’s not surprising that they refuse to bend to our changing future. The question is, can we build something of value with the tools at hand?

%d bloggers like this: